2014-08-18 8:53:46 pm by
DemLady1233 in category General
Knowing About Biases Can Hurt People
59Eliezer_Yudkowsky04 April 2007 06:01PM
Once upon a time I tried to tell my mother about the problem of expert calibration, saying: "So when an expert says they're 99% confident, it only happens about 70% of the time." Then there was a pause as, suddenly, I realized I was talking to my mother, and I hastily added: ...