Aug 19, 2014 12:53 AM
BLOG FROM LESSWRONG.COM
Knowing About Biases Can Hurt People 59Eliezer_Yudkowsky04 April 2007 06:01PM Once upon a time I tried to tell my mother about the problem of expert calibration, saying: "So when an expert says they're 99% confident, it only happens about 70% of the time." Then there was a pause as, suddenly, I realized I was talking to my mother, and I hastily added: "Of course, you've got to make sure t…